aeon-reg-monitor
Track legislation, regulatory actions, and legal developments affecting prediction markets, crypto, and AI agents. Per item: stage (Rumor / Proposed / Comment / Final / Enforced), impact (kills the category / structural change / disclosure burden / noise), affected protocols by name, and a concrete operator action. Use as pre-trade context on legally-wrapped assets. Triggers: "what's happening in crypto reg", "track CFTC actions", "prediction market regulation", "new SEC rules", "AI agent compliance updates".
What this skill does
# aeon-reg-monitor Regulatory intelligence for the stack pieces that get killed by a single rule change: prediction markets, agent-controlled wallets, stablecoins, MEV, AI compliance. ## Sources Federal Register, CFTC, SEC, FinCEN, EU Official Journal, ESMA, state AGs, court dockets via CourtListener. Industry counsel commentary as cross-reference only. ## Output format Items ranked by `Stage × Impact`. Final + Existential/High items lead. Rumor-stage items are included but visually separated. ``` FINAL × HIGH CFTC no-action sunset for sports-event contracts — Mar 31 Affected: Kalshi sports markets, derived Polymarket clones Action: unwind positions resolving after Mar 31 OR confirm continued no-action Source: cftc.gov/PressReleases/... COMMENT × HIGH Treasury proposed rule on stablecoin reserve composition Comment period closes Apr 14 Affected: USDC issuer reserve mix (commercial paper exposure) Action: monitor; no immediate trade RUMOR ESMA reportedly weighing MiCAR Article-12 application to prediction markets Single-source. Low confidence. Action: no action yet — confirmation watch. ``` ## Rules - Primary sources cited. "Reports indicate" without a filing or company post is rumor — flagged. - Stage and confidence paired — high-impact + low-confidence rumors are flagged as both. - Concrete operator action per item, or explicit "no action". - No editorial commentary. Cited facts only.
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