alphaear-predictor
Market prediction skill using Kronos. Use when user needs finance market time-series forecasting or news-aware finance market adjustments.
What this skill does
# AlphaEar Predictor Skill
## Overview
This skill utilizes the Kronos model (via `KronosPredictorUtility`) to perform time-series forecasting and adjust predictions based on news sentiment.
## Capabilities
### 1. Forecast Market Trends
### 1. Forecast Market Trends
**Workflow:**
1. **Generate Base Forecast**: Use `scripts/kronos_predictor.py` (via `KronosPredictorUtility`) to generate the technical/quantitative forecast.
2. **Adjust Forecast (Agentic)**: Use the **Forecast Adjustment Prompt** in `references/PROMPTS.md` to subjectively adjust the numbers based on latest news/logic.
**Key Tools:**
- `KronosPredictorUtility.get_base_forecast(df, lookback, pred_len, news_text)`: Returns `List[KLinePoint]`.
**Example Usage (Python):**
```python
from scripts.utils.kronos_predictor import KronosPredictorUtility
from scripts.utils.database_manager import DatabaseManager
db = DatabaseManager()
predictor = KronosPredictorUtility()
# Forecast
forecast = predictor.predict("600519", horizon="7d")
print(forecast)
```
## Configuration
This skill requires the **Kronos** model and an embedding model.
1. **Kronos Model**:
- Ensure `exports/models` directory exists in the project root.
- Place trained news projector weights (e.g., `kronos_news_v1.pt`) in `exports/models/`.
- Or depend on the base model (automatically downloaded).
> [!CAUTION]
> **Model Security**: This skill loads model weights from `exports/models`. We use `weights_only=True` and only scan for the `kronos_news_*.pt` pattern. Ensure you only place trusted checkpoints in this directory.
2. **Environment Variables**:
- `EMBEDDING_MODEL`: Path or name of the embedding model (default: `sentence-transformers/all-MiniLM-L6-v2`).
- `KRONOS_MODEL_PATH`: Optional path to override model loading.
## Dependencies
- `torch`
- `transformers`
- `sentence-transformers`
- `pandas`
- `numpy`
- `scikit-learn`
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