cynefin
Cynefin sense-making framework categorizing problems as Simple, Complicated, Complex, Chaotic, or Confused to select the right approach. Use when unsure how to tackle a problem.
What this skill does
# Cynefin Analysis Analyze a situation through the Cynefin framework to understand what type of problem it is and choose the appropriate response. ## Instructions Determine which Cynefin domain the problem belongs to, then apply the appropriate response approach. Be willing to recognize that parts of a problem may span multiple domains. ### Output Format **Situation**: [What we're analyzing] --- ## Initial Assessment **Characteristics Check** | Characteristic | Yes/No/Maybe | Evidence | |---------------|--------------|----------| | Cause and effect are clear and predictable | | | | Experts can analyze and determine the answer | | | | Outcomes can only be understood in hindsight | | | | The situation is unstable/in crisis | | | | We genuinely don't know what kind of problem this is | | | --- ## Domain Classification **Primary Domain**: [Simple/Complicated/Complex/Chaotic/Confused] **Why this domain?** [Reasoning for the classification] --- ## Domain-Appropriate Response ### If SIMPLE/OBVIOUS *Sense → Categorize → Respond* **Best Practice to Apply**: [The established approach] ### If COMPLICATED *Sense → Analyze → Respond* **Experts Needed**: [Who has the expertise?] **Analysis Required**: [What to investigate?] ### If COMPLEX *Probe → Sense → Respond* **Safe-to-Fail Experiments**: | Probe | What We'd Learn | Amplify if... | Dampen if... | |-------|-----------------|---------------|---------------| | [experiment] | [insight] | [success indicators] | [failure indicators] | **Key Mindset**: Don't try to predict. Try things, observe, adapt. ### If CHAOTIC *Act → Sense → Respond* **Immediate Stabilization**: [What action do we take right now?] ### If CONFUSED *Break down, then categorize* | Sub-problem | Likely Domain | Why | |-------------|---------------|-----| | [sub-problem] | [domain] | [reasoning] | --- ## Boundary Warnings | Transition | Warning Signs | What to Do | |------------|--------------|------------| | Simple → Chaotic | Complacency | Challenge assumptions | | Complicated → Complex | Analysis not converging | Try probes instead | | Complex → Chaotic | Loss of control | Stabilize fast | --- ## Recommended Approach **Given this is a [DOMAIN] problem, we should:** 1. [Primary approach] 2. [Supporting action] ## Guidelines - Most people default to Complicated (analysis) when Complex (probes) is needed - "Best practice" is only valid in Simple domain - In Complex, you can't predict—you can only experiment and adapt - In Chaotic, act first, think later $ARGUMENTS
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