ito-market-intelligence
Research prediction-market events, venues, underliers, liquidity, and news context for Itô basket workflows. Use for read-only market intelligence, API-gated Itô exploration, and source-grounded prediction-market briefings without investment advice or live trading.
What this skill does
# Itô Market Intelligence Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery, venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief. This is a public teaser skill. It can work with public sources by default. Any Itô-backed data call requires explicit API access through `ITO_API_KEY`. ## Guardrails - Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice. - Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders. - Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it. - Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs, not as truth by themselves. - Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation. ## Workflow 1. Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon. 2. Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research. 3. If `ITO_API_KEY` is present and the user explicitly asks for Itô data, call only read endpoints and state that access is gated. 4. Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency differences across venues. 5. Produce a decision brief: - market/event summary - available venues and underliers - liquidity and data-quality caveats - relevant news/source context - open questions before any user action ## Useful Skill Chains - Use `deep-research` or `exa-search` for source discovery. - Use `x-api` for public social signal discovery when X access is configured. - Use `market-research` for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases. - Use `prediction-market-risk-review` before any workflow touches user capital, portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials. ## Output Contract Default to a compact brief with source links and a clear caveat: ```text This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice. ``` If access is missing, say: ```text Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before using Itô-backed reads. ```
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