shap

What this skill does

# SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations)

## Overview

SHAP is a unified approach to explain machine learning model outputs using Shapley values from cooperative game theory. This skill provides comprehensive guidance for:

- Computing SHAP values for any model type
- Creating visualizations to understand feature importance
- Debugging and validating model behavior
- Analyzing fairness and bias
- Implementing explainable AI in production

SHAP works with all model types: tree-based models (XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, Random Forest), deep learning models (TensorFlow, PyTorch, Keras), linear models, and black-box models.

## When to Use This Skill

**Trigger this skill when users ask about**:
- "Explain which features are most important in my model"
- "Generate SHAP plots" (waterfall, beeswarm, bar, scatter, force, heatmap, etc.)
- "Why did my model make this prediction?"
- "Calculate SHAP values for my model"
- "Visualize feature importance using SHAP"
- "Debug my model's behavior" or "validate my model"
- "Check my model for bias" or "analyze fairness"
- "Compare feature importance across models"
- "Implement explainable AI" or "add explanations to my model"
- "Understand feature interactions"
- "Create model interpretation dashboard"

## Quick Start Guide

### Step 1: Select the Right Explainer

**Decision Tree**:

1. **Tree-based model?** (XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting)
   - Use `shap.TreeExplainer` (fast, exact)

2. **Deep neural network?** (TensorFlow, PyTorch, Keras, CNNs, RNNs, Transformers)
   - Use `shap.DeepExplainer` or `shap.GradientExplainer`

3. **Linear model?** (Linear/Logistic Regression, GLMs)
   - Use `shap.LinearExplainer` (extremely fast)

4. **Any other model?** (SVMs, custom functions, black-box models)
   - Use `shap.KernelExplainer` (model-agnostic but slower)

5. **Unsure?**
   - Use `shap.Explainer` (automatically selects best algorithm)

**See `references/explainers.md` for detailed information on all explainer types.**

### Step 2: Compute SHAP Values

```python
import shap

# Example with tree-based model (XGBoost)
import xgboost as xgb

# Train model
model = xgb.XGBClassifier().fit(X_train, y_train)

# Create explainer
explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)

# Compute SHAP values
shap_values = explainer(X_test)

# The shap_values object contains:
# - values: SHAP values (feature attributions)
# - base_values: Expected model output (baseline)
# - data: Original feature values
```

### Step 3: Visualize Results

**For Global Understanding** (entire dataset):
```python
# Beeswarm plot - shows feature importance with value distributions
shap.plots.beeswarm(shap_values, max_display=15)

# Bar plot - clean summary of feature importance
shap.plots.bar(shap_values)
```

**For Individual Predictions**:
```python
# Waterfall plot - detailed breakdown of single prediction
shap.plots.waterfall(shap_values[0])

# Force plot - additive force visualization
shap.plots.force(shap_values[0])
```

**For Feature Relationships**:
```python
# Scatter plot - feature-prediction relationship
shap.plots.scatter(shap_values[:, "Feature_Name"])

# Colored by another feature to show interactions
shap.plots.scatter(shap_values[:, "Age"], color=shap_values[:, "Education"])
```

**See `references/plots.md` for comprehensive guide on all plot types.**

## Core Workflows

This skill supports several common workflows. Choose the workflow that matches the current task.

### Workflow 1: Basic Model Explanation

**Goal**: Understand what drives model predictions

**Steps**:
1. Train model and create appropriate explainer
2. Compute SHAP values for test set
3. Generate global importance plots (beeswarm or bar)
4. Examine top feature relationships (scatter plots)
5. Explain specific predictions (waterfall plots)

**Example**:
```python
# Step 1-2: Setup
explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)
shap_values = explainer(X_test)

# Step 3: Global importance
shap.plots.beeswarm(shap_values)

# Step 4: Feature relationships
shap.plots.scatter(shap_values[:, "Most_Important_Feature"])

# Step 5: Individual explanation
shap.plots.waterfall(shap_values[0])
```

### Workflow 2: Model Debugging

**Goal**: Identify and fix model issues

**Steps**:
1. Compute SHAP values
2. Identify prediction errors
3. Explain misclassified samples
4. Check for unexpected feature importance (data leakage)
5. Validate feature relationships make sense
6. Check feature interactions

**See `references/workflows.md` for detailed debugging workflow.**

### Workflow 3: Feature Engineering

**Goal**: Use SHAP insights to improve features

**Steps**:
1. Compute SHAP values for baseline model
2. Identify nonlinear relationships (candidates for transformation)
3. Identify feature interactions (candidates for interaction terms)
4. Engineer new features
5. Retrain and compare SHAP values
6. Validate improvements

**See `references/workflows.md` for detailed feature engineering workflow.**

### Workflow 4: Model Comparison

**Goal**: Compare multiple models to select best interpretable option

**Steps**:
1. Train multiple models
2. Compute SHAP values for each
3. Compare global feature importance
4. Check consistency of feature rankings
5. Analyze specific predictions across models
6. Select based on accuracy, interpretability, and consistency

**See `references/workflows.md` for detailed model comparison workflow.**

### Workflow 5: Fairness and Bias Analysis

**Goal**: Detect and analyze model bias across demographic groups

**Steps**:
1. Identify protected attributes (gender, race, age, etc.)
2. Compute SHAP values
3. Compare feature importance across groups
4. Check protected attribute SHAP importance
5. Identify proxy features
6. Implement mitigation strategies if bias found

**See `references/workflows.md` for detailed fairness analysis workflow.**

### Workflow 6: Production Deployment

**Goal**: Integrate SHAP explanations into production systems

**Steps**:
1. Train and save model
2. Create and save explainer
3. Build explanation service
4. Create API endpoints for predictions with explanations
5. Implement caching and optimization
6. Monitor explanation quality

**See `references/workflows.md` for detailed production deployment workflow.**

## Key Concepts

### SHAP Values

**Definition**: SHAP values quantify each feature's contribution to a prediction, measured as the deviation from the expected model output (baseline).

**Properties**:
- **Additivity**: SHAP values sum to difference between prediction and baseline
- **Fairness**: Based on Shapley values from game theory
- **Consistency**: If a feature becomes more important, its SHAP value increases

**Interpretation**:
- Positive SHAP value → Feature pushes prediction higher
- Negative SHAP value → Feature pushes prediction lower
- Magnitude → Strength of feature's impact
- Sum of SHAP values → Total prediction change from baseline

**Example**:
```
Baseline (expected value): 0.30
Feature contributions (SHAP values):
  Age: +0.15
  Income: +0.10
  Education: -0.05
Final prediction: 0.30 + 0.15 + 0.10 - 0.05 = 0.50
```

### Background Data / Baseline

**Purpose**: Represents "typical" input to establish baseline expectations

**Selection**:
- Random sample from training data (50-1000 samples)
- Or use kmeans to select representative samples
- For DeepExplainer/KernelExplainer: 100-1000 samples balances accuracy and speed

**Impact**: Baseline affects SHAP value magnitudes but not relative importance

### Model Output Types

**Critical Consideration**: Understand what your model outputs

- **Raw output**: For regression or tree margins
- **Probability**: For classification probability
- **Log-odds**: For logistic regression (before sigmoid)

**Example**: XGBoost classifiers explain margin output (log-odds) by default. To explain probabilities, use `model_output="probability"` in TreeExplainer.

## Common Patterns

### Pattern 1: Complete Model Analysis

```python
# 1. Setup
explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)